Question 1

What are Moonshot signals?

Accepted Answer

Moonshot signals are our core fair value signals. They identify markets where the current price significantly deviates from our AI-calculated probability (the target price). Best for finding mispriced opportunities where the crowd has over- or under-estimated a probability.

Question 2

What are Banker signals?

Accepted Answer

Banker signals are conservative, high-probability plays. They target markets already trading above 85 cents that our model believes should reach 100 cents (certainty). Best for lower-risk positions with smaller but more reliable profit potential.

Question 3

What are Sniper signals?

Accepted Answer

Sniper signals combine our AI probability analysis with smart money confirmation. They identify markets where both our model AND profitable traders agree on the direction. Best for higher-conviction trades with dual confirmation from quantitative analysis and whale behavior.

Question 4

What are Smart Money signals?

Accepted Answer

Smart Money signals are based purely on where the most profitable traders are positioned. When 90%+ of smart money is concentrated on one side of a market, we flag it. Best for following the insiders who may have information or conviction not yet reflected in the price.

Question 5

How is the Target Price calculated?

Accepted Answer

We use advanced AI models to calculate the target price for each market. The model analyzes publicly available information including historical data and patterns, official sources (government data, scientific publications), recent news and developments, and statistical baselines. The target price represents our model's estimated probability that the outcome will occur, expressed as a price from 0 to 100 cents.

Question 6

What does smart money mean?

Accepted Answer

Smart money refers to traders who have demonstrated consistent profitability. We classify traders into tiers based on their track record. The Smart Money Ratio shows what percentage of weighted smart money positions are on each side.

Question 7

What are Smart Trader Alerts?

Accepted Answer

Smart Trader Alerts notify you in real-time when whales or historically profitable traders make significant moves in the market. We track large trades, trades from verified profitable wallets, and unusual activity patterns.

Question 8

How do I use the analyze feature?

Accepted Answer

The Analyze feature lets you get our AI analysis for any Polymarket URL. Copy the URL of any Polymarket market, paste it into the Analyze box on the dashboard, then click Analyze. You will receive: target price, reasoning, data sources, and smart money analysis (if available).

Question 9

What payment methods do you accept?

Accepted Answer

We accept all major credit and debit cards (Visa, Mastercard, American Express) through Stripe. We do not store your card details directly. All payments are processed securely by Stripe.

Question 10

Can I cancel my subscription?

Accepted Answer

Yes, you can cancel your subscription at any time from your Profile page. When you cancel, you will retain access until the end of your current billing period. We do not offer prorated refunds for partial periods.

Question 11

What is included in the Pro subscription?

Accepted Answer

Pro members get all signals unlocked (Moonshot, Banker, Sniper, Smart Money), the Smart Traders indicator, whale trade alerts, the ability to monitor specific markets, full access to explore, filter and analyze all markets, and priority access to new features.

Question 12

Is this financial advice?

Accepted Answer

No. TrueOdds does not provide financial, investment, or trading advice. Our signals and analysis are for informational and educational purposes only. You should conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading in prediction markets involves substantial risk.

Question 13

How accurate are your predictions?

Accepted Answer

No prediction system is 100% accurate. Our AI models provide probability estimates, not certainties. Markets can move against our signals for many reasons, including unexpected events or news, information we do not have access to, market manipulation, or model limitations.

Question 14

How do I contact support?

Accepted Answer

Visit our About page to send us a message. You can report data errors, ask questions, or inquire about partnerships. We typically respond within 24-48 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Signal Types

Analysis & Smart Money

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Risk & Disclaimers

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